Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.004338 0.004569 0.004806 0.005067 0.005349 0.005643 0.005973
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.003946 0.004291 0.004661 0.005089 0.005571 0.006100 0.006727
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.003777 0.004199 0.004666 0.005224 0.005875 0.006616 0.007532
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003540 0.004001 0.004523 0.005161 0.005927 0.006825 0.007971
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003355 0.003846 0.004411 0.005116 0.005984 0.007027 0.008397
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003186 0.003695 0.004290 0.005048 0.005999 0.007169 0.008745
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003111 0.003651 0.004293 0.005125 0.006191 0.007533 0.009391
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003008 0.003565 0.004237 0.005123 0.006277 0.007762 0.009867
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002898 0.003465 0.004158 0.005084 0.006311 0.007918 0.010247
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002774 0.003342 0.004044 0.004992 0.006267 0.007964 0.010472
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002669 0.003238 0.003948 0.004919 0.006242 0.008032 0.010728
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002605 0.003184 0.003914 0.004925 0.006323 0.008246 0.011202
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002467 0.003032 0.003749 0.004749 0.006148 0.008095 0.011133
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002416 0.002990 0.003727 0.004769 0.006245 0.008337 0.011673
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002408 0.003005 0.003781 0.004892 0.006495 0.008811 0.012599
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002334 0.002928 0.003708 0.004835 0.006479 0.008890 0.012902
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002269 0.002864 0.003649 0.004794 0.006485 0.008998 0.013258
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002201 0.002791 0.003576 0.004732 0.006455 0.009050 0.013521
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002183 0.002786 0.003596 0.004802 0.006626 0.009421 0.014345
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002141 0.002747 0.003567 0.004800 0.006686 0.009617 0.014881
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002090 0.002694 0.003517 0.004764 0.006692 0.009726 0.015266
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002026 0.002621 0.003437 0.004680 0.006618 0.009699 0.015404
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001970 0.002559 0.003369 0.004614 0.006569 0.009710 0.015611